[心得]
[出處] 以下文章引用自:
Fantasy 911
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[文章]
Marcus Thames- He has always had loads of power and also hits a ton of fly balls. He has just never been given a starting job from the outset as he simply does not get on base enough to offset the intriguing power. With injury prone OFers Carlos Guillen and Magglio Ordonez ahead of him and Gary Sheffield DH'ing, it is not too hard to imagine Thames landing in a starting role again this season like he did for a time last year. However, this time he does not have Matt Joyce to steal at-bats away from him. In a full-season, he'd be a lock for 35 home runs and could nearly match Adam Dunn-type numbers.
Micah Hoffpauir- He is already 29 so he is no spring chicken (great cliché isn't it?!). He hit 25 home runs in just 290 at-bats at Triple-A in 2008, but that was already his third year there. Unlike the guys above him, Hoffpauir has actually made pretty decent contact in the minors over the last couple of years. He is set to back up Derrek Lee at first, which means playing time will be hard to come by; however, if he does find himself in a full-time role, he warrants an immediate pickup. Given his solid contact skills, I actually project him to hit .295, so unlike the others, he will contribute in homers without dragging down your batting average.
Jonny Gomes- He fell off the face of the planet after posting a .906 OPS in 2005 with the Rays and hitting 21 home runs in just 348 at-bats. His huge strikeout totals finally did him in and his BABIP has fluctuated all over the place, while his HR/FB ratio has remained steady over the last three seasons. He is likely to kill your batting average, but he hits a ton of fly balls in a home run friendly park. The problem- Jay Bruce, the man, the myth, the legend, stands between Gomes and his hopes at playing time. Maybe Bruce completely flops and gets sent down in May. Hey, you never know!
Joe Mather- Mather is competing for the third base job in STL during Troy Glaus' absence and he is the most intriguing candidate in fantasy leagues. He is going to be 27 this year so he is no prospect, but that simply means he is nearing his peak and it is an opportunity to receive those peak stats on our teams. Like Hoffpauir, he makes solid contact for a power hitter and he hit 29 home runs at Triple-A over the last two years in just 460 at-bats. His history of BABIPs in the minors suggests he will be below average in the majors and therefore will not help in batting average, but he hit 48% of his batted balls in the air, which is a recipe for gaudy home run totals. Given how fragile Troy Glaus is, there is no assurance of exactly when he will be back, so Mather could be a great end-game purchase in NL-Only leagues if he begins the season with the job.
