[心得]
[出處] 以下文章引用自:
Fantasy Pro 911
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[文章]
David Freese, St. Louis Cardinals – Freese hit 26 home runs with 91 RBI while batting .306 in Triple-A Memphis last season and seems to have won the fill-in third base job with the Cardinals. Regular third baseman Troy Glaus is out for at least a month so Freese will have very limited time to prove he belongs in big league baseball. He’s batting .333 in 36 at-bats this spring, but only one home run. Without the power he has shown in the minors, Freese’s stay in St. Louis will be short lived.
Gaby Sanchez, Florida Marlins – Sanchez was considered to be the front-runner for the Marlins' first base job at the beginning of Spring Training. With only seven hits in 36 at-bats, Sanchez was optioned to Triple-A New Orleans. The 25-year-old had 17 home runs and 92 RBI while batting .314 in Double-A Carolina last season and needs to find that stroke again in New Orleans before he’ll be considered for a call-up.
Collin Balester, Washington Nationals – The 22-year-old Balester was just informed that he’ll start the 2009 season in Triple-A Syracuse after pitching 80 big league innings in 2008. This young prospect has some considerable upside, but his 6.75 ERA this spring along with a 1.29 strikeout to walk ratio (9:7 K:BB) in 20 innings didn’t provide enough ammunition for Balester’s charge into the Nationals' roster.
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Could Shairon Martis come in under the radar and have the success of Edinson Volquez a year later? Before delving into a comparison, an evaluation of Martis on his own is warranted.
Martis throws four pitches, none of which are rated outstanding by scouts. Working off his five games with the Nationals, his fastball averages 91 mph and he threw it 60% of the time. He compliments the fastball with a changeup (80 mph, 20%), a slider (81.7 mpg, 10%), and a curve (76 mph, 9 %). The changeup grades as his best secondary pitch. John Sickels has followed him the whole way, starting with a B- grade in 2006. He moved up to a B in 2007, but after a somewhat disappointing year has graded as a C+ in 2008 and 2009. The Nationals hope that an adjustment in his mechanics can keep Martis' fastball in the low to mid 90s. Count Baseball America's John Manuel among the skeptics, he sees Martis as "a back of the rotation or a middle reliever type" - 8/29/08.
Martis began in the Giants' system in 2005 before being traded to Washington in July of 2006. In total he pitched 416.1 innings amassing a 3.80 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. He allowed 409 hits, struck out 345, and walked 137 for a 2.51 K/BB ratio. 2008 was his only year to include AA and AAA experience. In 116.1 innings he had a 3.64 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Once again his hits allowed was lower than innings pitched, though just barely at 115. He struck out 99 and walked 45 (2.20).
With the Nationals he pitched 20.2 innings, striking out 23 but walking 12. He allowed only 18 hits but five went over the fence. His ERA was 5.66 with a 1.45 WHIP. Martis is a fly ball pitcher; in his minor league innings in 2008 his GB/FB ratio was 0.83. This carried over to Washington where he posted a ratio of 0.73. The major difference was in home runs allowed; in his minor league career he held batters to 0.56 home runs per nine innings. With the Nationals it nearly quadrupled to 2.18.
Martis' Spring Training line shows progress in one of the two areas that plagued him last September. In 23.1 innings he has walked only five, surrendered 14 hits, and struck out 16. His ERA is 2.31 with a miniscule WHIP of 0.81. Still, three hits have been home runs, good for a 1.16 HR/9 rate. With only one season of data to go on it is premature to draw binding conclusions from Nationals Park stadium factors. In 2008 it was 16th for home runs allowed, slightly below neutral. Martis' gopheritis probably will not be magnified by his home park, but he cannot count on being helped either.
Prior to 2008 Edinson Volquez had 80 major league innings and 551 minor league innings under his belt. His K/BB, ERA, and HR/9 were all very similar to the numbers Martis posted. He even throws the same four pitches, though with more changeups and fewer sliders. An important difference between the two is that Martis is far more hittable. Volquez has significant advantages in hits allowed and strikeouts, likely due to a fastball that averages 93.6 mph. Should Martis gain more power in his arm he could project as a similar pitcher. Until then, if the control holds up he will be useful in 14+ team mixed leagues and NL only, with maybe a 10% chance of producing some special numbers.
