[MLB] MATT KEMP & Bobby Abreu

[心得]


[出處] 以下文章引用自:

http://www.fantasypros911.com/fantasy-baseball-arbitration-outfielders.html

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[文章]

MATT KEMP

FP911 SAYS: Kemp is projected as a Tier 3 OF with a .288 average, 21-90-28 with 85 runs scored. Kemp is a rising 5 tool player that continues to get better each year he plays. We are actually being conservative on his batting average due to the uncertainity of the Manny Ramirez signing and the positive effects his presence brings to everyone in that lineup. His ADP of 41 at mockdraftcentral.com is consistent with our ranking.

MATT KEMP CHEERLEADERS SAY: Kemp is undervalued and should be ranked ahead of Tier 2 OFs like Carlos Quentin (one year wonder), Nate McLouth (second half dud), and Torii Hunter (declining skills). Kemp's stats actually declined with the insertion of Manny into the Dodgers lineup. Kemp's numbers will continue to improve and he will be over a .300 hitter in 2009 with steals over 30.

ARBITRATOR RHETT OLDHAM SAYS: Excellent points on both sides of the debate. Kemp will be entering his 3rd full year in the big leagues and that is more important to me than the magical age 27. The Dodgers like to run so I do not see any drop off in Kemp's steal total. His average has consistently been over .300 at every level so his .290 average last year was a career low and I can only see an increase in his power numbers as he matures. I rule in favor of: MATT KEMP CHEERLEADERS

BOBBY ABREU

FP911 SAYS: Abreu is projected as a Tier 4 outfielder with a line of .287 17-95-20. Abreu does not hit for the same power that we remember from his Phillies' days but his career batting average of .300, 7 of the last 8 season of over 100 RBI, and 10 straight seasons of stealing over 20 bases still make us believers. Abreu hit .327 after the All Star break which shows his keen batting eye has not suffered. Mock Draft Central has him at a 61 ADP which is consistent with our numbers.

BOBBY ABREU DETRACTORS: At age 35, Abreu is on the decline. Leaving Yankee Stadium's famed short right field porch where he hit 14 of his 20 home runs last year will not help his power numbers. Counting on an aging veteran to give you 20 plus steals is dicey at best. Most importantly where is he going to play. I think the ballpark makes a huge difference to Abreu's value. I just think there are too many questions marks to draft him this high.

ARBITRATOR RHETT OLDHAM SAYS: Abreu's days as a power hitter are clearly over but that is not why you are drafting him. You want his high average, big RBI totals, and consistency in the stolen base department. Abreu is no fool when it comes to his contract negotiations. Abreu is on your team because you know what you are getting. Unfortunately, it is not quite as much as you wil get compared to previous seasons. I rule in favor of: FP911.