[MLB]Closer Report

[心得]


[出處] 以下文章引用自:
http://www.fantasypros911.com/skimming-the-closer-pool-al-east.html

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[文章]

ampa Bay Rays

• The Incumbent: Troy Percival
  

• Likelihood to hold job:

• How they did last year: 2-1, 4.53 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 28 SV, 38 K/27 BB

  Last season was the first year Percival appeared in 50 games since 2004 with the Angels. Percival was actually a pleasant surprise for the Rays, providing veteran presence on a young team and solidifying the back end of the bullpen for most of the season. Despite an ERA of 4.53, Percival was actually fortunate because his FB% of 66.7 and FIP was 5.87.

• What to expect this year: Do not get too comfortable. This job could be lost before the season even gets under way. Percival has a long history of injuries and his job is contingent upon his ability to recover from offseason back surgery. Percival will also turn 40 next year. If he manages to stay healthy for an entire season, the Rays are good enough to give him 40 opportunities, but a high ERA and WHIP plus a low strikeout total is more than likely.

• In the ‘Pen: Dan Wheeler, Joe Nelson

  Dan Wheeler: Shaky at times, but worth an add if he is given the job. Wheeler saved 13 of 18 chances last year and has 38 career saves. If he takes or wins the job over Percival, his numbers would be more fantasy friendly, as he strikes out a better rate and should have an ERA somewhere in the 3’s.

  Joe Nelson: Just signed by the Rays, Nelson should help bolster the Rays bullpen in 2009. If Percival gets hurt, Nelson is nice insurance. Nelson was 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 54 innings.

Toronto Blue Jays

• The Incumbent: B.J. Ryan

• Likelihood to hold job:

• How they did last year: 2-4, 2.95 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 32 SV, 58 K/28 BB

  Ryan missed the first two weeks of last season while still recovering from elbow surgery that shelved him for almost the entire 2007 season. He was not the Ryan of old, certainly, but he still was a serviceable closer, blowing only four saves. However, the days of 100 strikeouts (2005 and 2006) might be a distant memory.

• What to expect this year: Ryan should be healthy to begin the season, unlike last year, which is a good thing. Assuming he remains healthy, he should pick up a few more saves and strikeouts than last year. Expect 35+ saves and 70+ strikeouts again.

• In the ‘Pen: Jeremy Accardo, Scott Downs

  Jeremy Accardo: The Blue Jays closer in 2007 while Ryan was on the shelf is always a good option in the ‘pen. Accardo converted 30 out of 35 saves for the Jays in 2007, posting a 2.14 ERA. If Ryan were to go down, Accardo should move into the closer role again and be owned in all formats.
  

  Scott Downs: Mostly a setup man, Downs is available if Ryan gets hurt and Accardo cannot get it done. Downs had five saves last year with a 1.78 ERA.